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To reverse a years of weakening total factor efficiency, local labour market policy is shifting from simple job creation to managing active labor force shifts. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as companies integrate AI tools into daily workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are intensifying their concentrate on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, energies, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil profits structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the priority is reinforcing financial durability through more safe and secure trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI deployment, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international regions peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Although oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate additional investment. The fiscal deficit is projected to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to ease inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services remain essential growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.

Oil production is expected to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in facilities, innovation and worldwide trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually been available in building diverse, resistant and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversity efforts.
What distinguishes 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is real, but rather a basic shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will behave like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global business results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most significant strategic recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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