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To reverse a decade of deteriorating total factor efficiency, regional labour market policy is shifting from easy job production to handling active labor force transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more common as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are intensifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus stays on strengthening non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is strengthening economic resilience through more protected trade and financial investment relationships, efficient AI release, managed workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic demand and restored investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most international areas peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote further investment. The financial deficit is projected to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to ease inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services stay key development drivers, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in facilities, technology and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has come in structure diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Leading the Upcoming Regional Business Environment for ExecutivesWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather an essential shift in how business envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, including the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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