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To reverse a years of damaging total aspect productivity, regional labour market policy is shifting from easy task creation to handling active labor force transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are magnifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil profits frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the priority is reinforcing financial durability through more safe trade and investment relationships, reliable AI deployment, managed workforce shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".

Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic need and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most worldwide regions peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil earnings will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a major factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.

Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of reduced foreign ownership rules that aim to stimulate additional financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and financial services stay crucial development motorists, supported by population growth and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to choose up once again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has come in structure diverse, resilient and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and continual diversification efforts.
What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, but rather a fundamental shift in how business conceive of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with global company outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable strategic recalibration in the GCC model's evolution.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, consisting of the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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